Gartner publishes top eight cybersecurity predictions

By Dylan Bushell-Embling
Friday, 31 March, 2023

Gartner publishes top eight cybersecurity predictions

According to Gartner, by 2027, 50% of CISOs will have formally adopted human-centric design practices. This involves security design modelled with the individual, rather than the technology, threat or location, as the main focus. The research firm has released the list of its top eight cybersecurity predictions for the next few years.

Meanwhile Gartner also expects that by 2024, modern privacy regulation will cover the majority of consumer data. But despite this, less than 10% of organisations are expected to have successfully weaponised privacy as a competitive advantage by this time.

By 2026, 10% of large enterprises are expected to have a comprehensive and mature zero trust program in place, up from less than 1% today. The success of such programs will be highly dependent on the translation to business value, Garter said.

Another prediction set to present challenges for CISOs is that by 2027, 75% of employers will have acquired, modified or created technology outside of IT’s visibility. According to Gartner, this encroachment of shadow IT requires thinking beyond technology and automation to deeply engage with employees to influence decision-making and ensure they have appropriate knowledge to do this in an informed way.

Gartner’s research also indicates that by 2025, 50% of cybersecurity leaders will have tried, unsuccessfully, to use cyber risk quantification to drive enterprise decision-making. While today 62% of cyber risk quantification adopters cite soft gains in credibility and cyber risk awareness, only 36% have achieved action-based results.

Also by 2025, Gartner believes that nearly half of cybersecurity leaders will change jobs due to multiple work-related stressors, accelerated by the pandemic and staffing shortages.

On the flip side, by 2026, Gartner expects 70% of boards to include at least one member with cybersecurity expertise.

Finally, Gartner has predicted that more than 60% of threat detection, investigation and response capabilities will leverage exposure management data by 2026. This would be an increase from less than 5% today.

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